{"id":7349,"date":"2024-08-14T08:44:51","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T00:44:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tenten.co\/blog\/?p=7349"},"modified":"2024-08-14T12:50:19","modified_gmt":"2024-08-14T04:50:19","slug":"super-micro-smci-stock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tenten.co\/blog\/investment\/super-micro-smci-stock\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d85\u5fae\u96fb\u8166\uff1a \u6559\u79d1\u66f8\u5f0f\u7684\u5f37\u529b\u8cfc\u8cb7\u6a5f\u6703"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>\u6458\u8981<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\u8d85\u5fae\u96fb\u8166\u516c\u53f8\uff08Super Micro Computer, Inc.\uff09\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u8ca1\u5831\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e 20%\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u548c\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u5f37\u52c1\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u8d85\u5fae\u516c\u53f8\u5ba3\u5e03\u9032\u884c\u5341\u80a1\u5408\u4e00\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u62c6\u5206\uff0c\u4f7f\u80a1\u7968\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\u66f4\u5177\u53ef\u8ca0\u64d4\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n<li>AI \u786c\u9ad4\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u7206\u70b8\u70ba\u8d85\u5fae\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u300c\u5f37\u70c8\u8cb7\u5165\u300d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u89c0\u7684\u589e\u9577\u6f5b\u529b\u548c\u4f4e\u5229\u6f64\u500d\u6578\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/HtVqBgs.jpeg\" alt=\"Woman standing in aisle of server room\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8d85\u5fae\u96fb\u8166\u516c\u53f8 (NASDAQ:SMCI)<\/strong> \u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u79d1\u6280\u5927\u5c60\u6bba\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u3002\u4e0a\u9031\uff0c\u9019\u5bb6\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u786c\u9ad4\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u5728\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63 2024 \u5e74\u8ca1\u5831\u516c\u5e03\u5f8c\u66b4\u8dcc\u8d85\u904e 20%\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8ca1\u5831\u8868\u73fe\u4e26\u4e0d\u5dee\uff0c\u4f46\u5229\u6f64\u767c\u5c55\u5f15\u767c\u4e86\u5c0d\u7372\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u64d4\u6182\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba 20%\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u904e\u65bc\u8a87\u5f35\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u6839\u64da\u8d85\u5fae\u5728\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u7cfb\u7d71\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u986f\u8457\u5be6\u529b\u4e26\u4e0d\u5408\u7406\u3002\u8d85\u5fae\u4e5f\u6709\u5229\u6f64\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u88ab\u7d0d\u5165\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 \u6307\u6578\uff0c\u9019\u5c07\u4f7f\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u66f4\u5177\u53ef\u898b\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8d85\u5fae\u516c\u53f8\u9084\u5ba3\u5e03\u9032\u884c\u5341\u80a1\u5408\u4e00\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u62c6\u5206\uff0c\u8a72\u62c6\u5206\u5c07\u65bc\u5341\u6708\u521d\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u9019\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u8a72\u80a1\u7968\u4f5c\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u9031\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6df7\u4e82\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u6559\u79d1\u66f8\u5f0f\u7684\u300c\u5f37\u70c8\u8cb7\u5165\u300d\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u770b\u4f86\uff0c\u8d85\u5fae\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<h2>**<\/h2>\n<p>\u92b7\u552e\u7206\u70b8\u6b63\u5728\u5275\u9020\u4e00\u500b\u300c\u5f37\u70c8\u8cb7\u5165\u300d\u7684\u6a5f\u6703**<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u5bb6\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u786c\u9ad4\u4f9b\u61c9\u5546\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u8a72\u884c\u696d\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u5c0d\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u52a0\u901f\u3002\u8d85\u5fae\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63\u5ea6\u5be6\u73fe\u4e86 143%\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u7387\uff0c\u7e3d\u92b7\u552e\u984d\u9054\u5230 53 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u5bb6\u786c\u9ad4\u516c\u53f8\u5c08\u6ce8\u65bc\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u80fd\u5920\u8655\u7406\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u904b\u7b97\u7684\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u8d85\u5fae\u986f\u7136\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u7af6\u8cfd\u4e2d\u7372\u52dd\u3002\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u6240\u6709\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u90fd\u4f86\u81ea\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u548c\u5132\u5b58\u7cfb\u7d71\u90e8\u9580\uff0c\u8a72\u90e8\u9580\u5728\u4e0a\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc 148%\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>[<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/kqycjuf.png\" alt=\"Revenue Growth\" \/><\/p>\n<h4>\u6536\u5165\u589e\u9577<\/h4>\n<p>\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u589e\u9577\u4f86\u81ea\u65bc IT \u884c\u696d\u5c0d\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u4e0d\u65b7\u64f4\u5927\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u50cf ChatGPT \u9019\u6a23\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u5de5\u5177\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u6380\u8d77\u71b1\u6f6e\uff0c\u786c\u9ad4\u548c\u8edf\u9ad4\u516c\u53f8\u5df2\u7d93\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5c0d\u80fd\u5920\u8655\u7406\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u904b\u7b97\u7684 IT \u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u7a2e\u4e0d\u53d7\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u652f\u51fa\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u5f8c\u679c\u662f\u8cc7\u8a0a\u79d1\u6280\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u5e02\u5834\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u986f\u8457\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u8d85\u5fae\u516c\u53f8\u4f30\u8a08\u5176\u898f\u6a21\u70ba 500 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u589e\u52a0\u5c0d IT \u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u4e5f\u662f\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u9019\u5bb6\u786c\u9ad4\u516c\u53f8\u9810\u6e2c\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u984d\u5c07\u9054\u5230 260-300 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa 87%\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u7387\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u8d85\u5fae\u9810\u671f\u76ee\u524d\u5728 AI \u786c\u9ad4\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u652f\u51fa\u6d6a\u6f6e\u5c07\u81f3\u5c11\u6301\u7e8c\u5230\u660e\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/12\/54097509-17234693112394266_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/DK4yw6t.png\" alt=\"Annual Revenue\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4>\u5e74\u5ea6\u6536\u5165<\/h4>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u8d85\u5fae\u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u65b9\u9762\u8868\u73fe\u76f8\u7576\u4e0d\u932f\uff0c\u4f46\u6bdb\u5229\u7387\u5c0d\u65bc\u9019\u5bb6\u786c\u9ad4\u516c\u53f8\u4f86\u8aaa\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u5f31\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5f80\u5f80\u671f\u671b\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u80fd\u8f49\u5316\u70ba\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u71df\u904b\u6216\u6bdb\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0a\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u9019\u5c0d\u8d85\u5fae\u4f86\u8aaa\u4e26\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u975e\u516c\u8a8d\u6703\u8a08\u539f\u5247\u6bdb\u5229\u7387\u5f9e 2023 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63\u7684 17.1%\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3 2024 \u5e74\u7b2c 4 \u5b63\u7684 11.3%\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u7531\u65bc\u92b7\u552e\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u6240\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/12\/54097509-17234693734216056_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/Jk7S2EW.png\" alt=\"Non-GAAP Gross Margin\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h4>GAAP \u975e\u4e00\u822c\u516c\u8a8d\u6703\u8a08\u539f\u5247\u6bdb\u5229\u7387<\/h4>\n<h2>\u00a0<strong>10 \u80a1\u62c6 1 \u80a1<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>\u8d85\u5fae\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5176\u80a1\u7968\u5c07\u65bc\u5341\u6708\u9032\u884c\u5341\u5c0d\u4e00\u7684\u62c6\u5206\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u80a1\u7968\u5c07\u65bc 2024 \u5e74 10 \u6708 1 \u65e5\u4ee5\u62c6\u5206\u8abf\u6574\u5f8c\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u958b\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u8f03\u4f4e\u50f9\u683c\u6a19\u7c64\u5f9e\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4f86\u770b\u4e0d\u6703\u4f7f\u80a1\u7968\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff08\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u6bd4\u7387\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u683c\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u5f9e 500 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u81f3 50 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9019\u4f7f\u5f97\u5c0d\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u4f86\u8aaa\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u5177\u53ef\u8ca0\u64d4\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u6f64\u500d\u6578\u8003\u616e\u5230\u6f5b\u529b**<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u76ee\u524d\u9810\u6e2c\u8d85\u5fae\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u5229\u6f64\u70ba 43.26 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u51fa 28%\u7684\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u7387\u3002\u8a72\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u76ee\u524d\u5728\u92b7\u552e\u65b9\u9762\u8868\u73fe\u7279\u5225\u51fa\u8272\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u660e\u5e74\u5c07\u589e\u9577 18%\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5e74\u589e\u9577\u7387\u5c07\u98c6\u5347 75%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8d85\u5fae\u5728\u4e09\u6708\u88ab\u7d0d\u5165\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 \u6307\u6578\uff0c\u9019\u8981\u6c42\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u524d\u56db\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u5fc5\u9808\u6709\u56db\u500b\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6b63\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u8d85\u5fae\u662f\u76c8\u5229\u7684\uff0c\u4e14\u76c8\u5229\u5ee3\u6cdb\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684 2025 \u5e74\u5229\u6f64\u500d\u6578\u70ba 11.8 \u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/WsTfB3q.png\" alt=\"Earnings Estimate\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u8003\u616e\u5230\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u7d0d\u5165\u6a19\u6e96\u666e\u723e 500 \u6307\u6578\u4ee5\u53ca\u5373\u5c07\u9032\u884c\u7684\u5341\u5c0d\u4e00\u80a1\u7968\u62c6\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u76f8\u7576\u7368\u7279\u4e14\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u5f37\u529b\u8cb7\u5165\u6a5f\u6703\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u662f\u4eca\u5929\u80a1\u50f9\u7684\u5169\u500d\uff0c\u800c\u5c31\u6211\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u524d\u666f\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u7d72\u6beb\u60e1\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nvidia \u516c\u53f8 (NVDA)<\/strong> \u9810\u8a08\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u984d\u5c07\u7d04\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4ee5 27.9 \u500d\u7684\u5229\u6f64\u500d\u6578\u51fa\u552e\u3002<strong>\u6234\u723e\u79d1\u6280\u516c\u53f8 (DELL)<\/strong>\uff0c\u4f5c\u70ba\u8d85\u5fae\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\uff0c\u5247\u4ee5 10.0 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