{"id":7344,"date":"2024-08-14T08:39:40","date_gmt":"2024-08-14T00:39:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tenten.co\/blog\/?p=7344"},"modified":"2024-08-14T08:43:12","modified_gmt":"2024-08-14T00:43:12","slug":"micron-45-percent-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tenten.co\/blog\/investment\/micron-45-percent-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0b\u8dcc 45% \u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0cMicron \u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u975e\u5e38\u4fbf\u5b9c"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><a id=\"%E6%91%98%E8%A6%81\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u6458\u8981<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u500b\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u6a5f\u6703\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u9818\u57df\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u9818\u5c0e\u8005\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u64c1\u6709\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u589e\u9577\u6f5b\u529b\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u98c6\u5347\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u503c\u5f97\u9577\u671f\u6301\u6709\u7684\u512a\u8cea\u6295\u8cc7\u6a19\u7684\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/6uU7QfM.jpeg\" alt=\"Artificial intelligence circuit board 5\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u7f8e\u5149<\/strong> (NASDAQ:MU) \u6700\u8fd1\u662f\u6700\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u8d85\u8cb7\u6280\u8853\u689d\u4ef6\u548c\u5feb\u901f\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u589e\u9577\u611f\u5230\u64d4\u6182\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u662f\u6211\u5728\u516d\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u9ad8\u9ede\u6642\u5f37\u8abf\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5b83\u660e\u986f\u8d85\u8cb7\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9032\u884c\u5927\u5e45\u4fee\u6b63\u3002\u6211\u958b\u59cb\u5728\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u56de\u8abf\u4e2d\u7a0d\u65e9\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u7684\u6301\u80a1\u5e73\u5747\u8cb7\u5165\u50f9\u683c\u70ba\u7d04 110 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<h4><a id=\"%C2%A0%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E4%B8%80%E5%B9%B4%E5%BA%A6%E5%9C%96%E8%A1%A8\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u7f8e\u5149\u4e00\u5e74\u5ea6\u5716\u8868<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/13\/48200183-17235373246397367_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/3k2sIE7.png\" alt=\"MU\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>MU (stockcharts.com )<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u8dcc\u7834 95 \u81f3 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u652f\u6490\u4f4d\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5f88\u4f4e\uff08\u5728\u6211\u770b\u4f86\uff09\uff0c\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u5149\u8dcc\u81f3 85 \u7f8e\u5143\u9019\u9ebc\u4f4e\u8b93\u6211\u611f\u5230\u975e\u5e38\u9a5a\u8a1d\u3002\u9019\u600e\u9ebc\u53ef\u80fd\u5462\uff1f\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u500b AI \u5bf5\u5152\u6beb\u7121\u660e\u986f\u539f\u56e0\u5730\u906d\u5230\u91cd\u5275\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u8b8a\u5f97\u4fbf\u5b9c\u5f97\u9a5a\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u70ba\u4e86\u8b93\u4e8b\u60c5\u66f4\u5177\u9ad4\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u5927\u7d04\u516d\u9031\u5167\u9a5f\u964d\u4e86\u9a5a\u4eba\u7684 45%\uff0c\u5275\u9020\u4e86\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u6700\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u5716\u7684\u8cfc\u8cb7\u6a5f\u6703\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6050\u614c\u6027\u62cb\u552e\u548c\u6295\u964d\u60c5\u7dd2\u7684\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u986f\u7136\u904e\u5ea6\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u5728\u8dcc\u7834 100 \u7f8e\u5143\u6642\uff0c\u9019\u6070\u597d\u8207 200 \u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u516d\u9031\u7684\u62cb\u552e\u6d88\u9664\u4e86\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u524d\u516d\u500b\u6708\u7684\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u986f\u8457\u91cd\u7f6e\u4e86\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u4e26\u4f7f\u80a1\u7968\u9032\u5165\u4e86\u76f8\u7576\u8d85\u8ce3\u7684\u6280\u8853\u5340\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<p>RSI \u6307\u6578\u964d\u81f3\u7d04 25\uff0c\u70ba\u81f3\u5c11\u4e94\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4f4e\u65bc 2022 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\u7f8e\u5143\u6642\u537b\u9078\u64c7\u4e86\u9000\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e7e\u53e5\u667a\u6167\u7684\u8a71\u5728\u9019\u88e1\u9069\u7528\u3002\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u8caa\u5a6a\u6642\u8ce3\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u6050\u61fc\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u5408\u7406\u7684\u3002\u300c\u7576\u8857\u4e0a\u6709\u8840\u6642\u8cb7\u5165\u300d\u4e5f\u540c\u6a23\u9069\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u8dcc\u81f3\u7d04 85 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede\u6642\u6709\u591a\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff1f\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u5149\u660e\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u5831\u544a\u7d04$10 \u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\uff0c\u9019\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u6700\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\u5728\u7d04 8-9 \u500d\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u76c8\u9918\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u6211\u5011\u5df2\u7d93\u770b\u5230\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u53cd\u5f48\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u73fe\u5728\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea4\u6613\u5728 9-10 \u500d\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u975e\u5e38\u4fbf\u5b9c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u6545\u4e8b\u4f9d\u7136\u6d3b\u8e8d\uff0c\u8a72\u80a1\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8d85\u8d8a\u5e02\u5834\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u64f4\u5927\u5176\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\uff0c\u4e26\u5728 2024 \u5e74\u5e95\u53ca\u660e\u5e74\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\u3002\u6211\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u60c5\u5883 12 \u500b\u6708\u50f9\u683c\u76ee\u6a19\u70ba 180 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><a id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E7%9A%84%E4%BA%BA%E5%B7%A5%E6%99%BA%E6%85%A7%E5%89%8D%E6%99%AF%E4%BE%9D%E7%84%B6%E7%A9%A9%E5%81%A5\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u524d\u666f\u4f9d\u7136\u7a69\u5065<\/h3>\n<p>\u5118\u7ba1\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u5c0e\u81f4\u5176\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8fd1 50%\u7684\u300c\u589e\u9577\u6050\u614c\u300d\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u9818\u5c0e\u8005\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u7e7c\u7e8c\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u884c\u696d\u9818\u5148\u6280\u8853\u4f7f\u5f97\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u4ee3\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u6210\u70ba\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4fc3\u9032\u4e86\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u6a5f\u5668\u5b78\u7fd2\u8a13\u7df4\uff0c\u4e26\u555f\u7528\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u5c08\u70ba\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u8a13\u7df4\u9ad4\u9a57\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u85dd\u8853\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b49\u800c\u8a2d\u8a08\u7684\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u548c\u5132\u5b58\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u6210\u70ba\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u5de7\u5999\u5730\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5728\u7d42\u7aef\u8a2d\u5099\u4e0a\u904b\u884c\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u61c9\u7528\u6240\u9700\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u5bb9\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u4e5f\u5728\u5176\u667a\u6167\u5de5\u5ee0\u4e2d\u904b\u7528\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u6578\u64da\u8f49\u8b8a\u904b\u71df\uff0c\u9054\u5230\u5176\u5e02\u5834\u9818\u5148\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u548c\u5132\u5b58\u89e3\u6c7a\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u7522\u91cf\u3001\u826f\u7387\u548c\u54c1\u8cea\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u52d5\u614b\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63d0\u9ad8\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u751f\u7522\u529b\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u6211\u5011\u7684\u524d\u9032\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u5176\u6548\u7387\u548c\u76c8\u5229\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><a id=\"%C2%A0%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E6%9C%80%E8%BF%91%E7%9A%84%E6%94%B6%E7%9B%8A\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u7f8e\u5149\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u6536\u76ca<\/h3>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u6700\u8fd1\uff086 \u6708 26 \u65e5\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5176\u8ca1\u653f\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u696d\u7e3e\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u7a69\u5065\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u70ba 0.62 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u5e02\u5834\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c 0.09 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u589e\u5e45\u9054 17%\u3002\u6536\u5165\u70ba 68.1 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f 1.4 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u9577 81.6%\u3002\u7d93\u71df\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u70ba 24.8 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u800c\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u70ba 12.2 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3 SSD \u6536\u5165\u5275\u4e0b\u6b77\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u9ad8\u5229\u6f64\u7522\u54c1\u5982\u9ad8\u5e36\u5bec\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u65b9\u9762\u6301\u7e8c\u7372\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u5e02\u5834\u4efd\u984d\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c0d\u64f4\u5c55\u4ee5 AI \u9a45\u52d5\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u611f\u5230\u8208\u596e\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u7f8e\u5149\u5728 2025 \u8ca1\u5e74\u6709\u826f\u597d\u7684\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4f86\u5be6\u73fe\u53ef\u89c0\u7684\u6536\u5165\u7d00\u9304\u3002\u5728 2025 \u8ca1\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u9810\u6e2c\u6536\u5165\u70ba 76 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c\u7684 75.8 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u6bd4\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u9084\u9810\u6e2c\u6bcf\u80a1\u6536\u76ca\u70ba 1.08 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8207\u5e02\u5834\u5171\u8b58\u7684 1.04 \u7f8e\u5143\u76f8\u6bd4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u91cd\u9ede<\/strong> &#8211; \u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u8d85\u51fa\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7a69\u5065\u7684\u6307\u5f15\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u300c\u82f1\u5049\u9054\u6642\u523b\u300d\u6216\u4e00\u500b\u5168\u58d8\u6253\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u516c\u544a\u975e\u5e38\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u503c\u5f97\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u5b83\u7684\u5831\u544a\u4e2d\u78ba\u5be6\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5176\u80a1\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc 40-50%\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><a id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E7%9B%B8%E5%B0%8D%E6%96%BC%E5%83%B9%E6%A0%BC%E7%9B%AE%E6%A8%99%E4%BE%86%E8%AA%AA%E4%BE%BF%E5%AE%9C%E5%BE%97%E9%A9%9A%E4%BA%BA\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u7f8e\u5149\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u50f9\u683c\u76ee\u6a19\u4f86\u8aaa\u4fbf\u5b9c\u5f97\u9a5a\u4eba<\/h3>\n<p>\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5149\u6301\u6a02\u89c0\u614b\u5ea6\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u5230\u7a69\u5065\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u6211\u770b\u4e0d\u51fa\u50f9\u683c\u76ee\u6a19\u6703\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/13\/48200183-17235442709065259_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/VvcQaLL.png\" alt=\"MU\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>MU (seekingalpha.com )<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u50f9\u683c\u76ee\u6a19\u7d04\u70ba 110 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u7d04\u6bd4\u76ee\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\u51fa 16%\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u9019\u50c5\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u7aef\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u7bc4\u570d\u3002\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\u76ee\u6a19\u7d04\u70ba 161 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5f9e\u9019\u88e1\u8d77\u5927\u7d04\u9ad8\u51fa 70%\u3002\u9ad8\u7aef\u76ee\u6a19\u9054\u5230 225 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u5341\u4e8c\u500b\u6708\u5167\u5927\u7d04\u6709 135%\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u6f5b\u529b\u3002\u6211\u7684 12 \u500b\u6708\u76ee\u6a19\u4ecd\u7136\u662f 180 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u5f9e\u9019\u88e1\u8d77\u5927\u7d04\u6709 100%\u7684\u4e0a\u6f32\u6f5b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><a id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E6%93%81%E6%9C%89%E4%BB%A4%E4%BA%BA%E5%8D%B0%E8%B1%A1%E6%B7%B1%E5%88%BB%E7%9A%84%E5%A2%9E%E9%95%B7%E6%BD%9B%E5%8A%9B\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u7f8e\u5149\u64c1\u6709\u4ee4\u4eba\u5370\u8c61\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u589e\u9577\u6f5b\u529b<\/h3>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u88ab\u8996\u70ba\u4e00\u5bb6\u6210\u9577\u578b\u516c\u53f8\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u60c5\u6cc1\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u7279\u5225\u662f\u8003\u616e\u5230\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u9818\u57df\u7684\u9818\u5148\u5730\u4f4d\u3001\u5229\u6f64\u8c50\u539a\u7684\u4f3a\u670d\u5668\u5e02\u5834\u524d\u666f\u3001\u7af6\u722d\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u548c\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u61c9\u8a72\u6703\u986f\u8457\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u9019\u4e00\u589e\u9577\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u6bd4\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e02\u5834\u53c3\u8207\u8005\u9810\u671f\u7684\u66f4\u9577\u6642\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<h4><a id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E7%9A%84%E6%AF%8F%E8%82%A1%E7%9B%88%E9%A4%98%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E6%9C%83%E9%A3%86%E5%8D%87\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u98c6\u5347<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/13\/48200183-17235449183331773_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/1aqch7O.png\" alt=\"EPS vs. estimates\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>EPS \u8207\u9810\u6e2c (seekingalpha.com )<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\uff08EPS\uff09\u5728 2025 \u8ca1\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6fc0\u589e\u81f3\u7d04 10 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u9060\u9ad8\u65bc\u7f8e\u5149\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u8d70\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u4f4e\u8ff7 EPS \u6642\u671f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u92b7\u552e\u984d\u5c07\u5f9e\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7d04 250 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u6fc0\u589e\u81f3 2025 \u5e74\u7684\u7d04 380 \u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u9019\u4e00\u52d5\u614b\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u8d85\u904e 50%\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u7387\u548c\u8fd1\u5341\u500d\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u589e\u9577\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u64f4\u5f35\u61c9\u8a72\u6703\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u7e7c\u7e8c\u3002<\/p>\n<h4><a id=\"%E6%AF%8F%E8%82%A1%E7%9B%88%E9%A4%98%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E6%AF%94%E9%A0%90%E6%9C%9F%E6%94%B9%E5%96%84%E6%9B%B4%E5%A4%9A\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u9810\u671f\u6539\u5584\u66f4\u591a<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/static.seekingalpha.com\/uploads\/2024\/8\/13\/48200183-17235453071373217_origin.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.imgur.com\/XuiepeT.png\" alt=\"EPS estimate\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>EPS \u4f30\u8a08 (seekingalpha.com )<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u64da\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c2026 \u8ca1\u5e74\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\uff08EPS\uff09\u9810\u4f30\u7d04\u70ba 12.50 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4f46\u5230\u90a3\u6642\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u9054\u5230 13 \u81f3 15 \u7f8e\u5143\u6216\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u9ad8\u7aef\u9810\u6e2c\u5247\u63a5\u8fd1 18 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8003\u616e\u5230\u5171\u8b58\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff082026 \u8ca1\u5e74\uff09\u7d04\u70ba 7.5\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u4f7f\u7528\u7a0d\u9ad8\u7684 14 \u7f8e\u5143 2026 \u5e74\u6bcf\u80a1\u76c8\u9918\u9810\u4f30\uff0c\u5176\u524d\u77bb\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u4f4e\u65bc 6.8\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u4e00\u5bb6\u8655\u65bc\u6709\u5229\u5e02\u5834\u9818\u5c0e\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u4fbf\u5b9c\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u5408\u7406\u5316\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\uff0c\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5149\u6210\u70ba\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u6700\u4f73\u7684\u8cb7\u5165\u6301\u6709\u5019\u9078\u80a1\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<h3><a id=\"%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E7%9A%84%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E5%9C%A8%E6%9C%AA%E4%BE%86%E5%B9%BE%E5%B9%B4%E5%8F%AF%E8%83%BD%E6%9C%83%E5%9C%A8%E5%93%AA%E8%A3%A1%EF%BC%9A\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon octicon-link\"><\/span><\/a>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u5728\u54ea\u88e1\uff1a<\/h3>\n<p>\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u53ef\u89c0\u7684\u6536\u5165\u548c\u76c8\u5229\u589e\u9577\u6f5b\u529b\u3002\u8a18\u61b6\u9ad4\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u3001\u6578\u64da\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6536\u5165\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u589e\u9577\u6e20\u9053\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u7f8e\u5149\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u5be6\u73fe\u96d9\u4f4d\u6578\u7684\u92b7\u552e\u589e\u9577\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u9084\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u8207\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u6167\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6700\u5927\u5316\u76c8\u5229\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u9a5a\u4eba\u589e\u9577\u53ef\u80fd\u4fc3\u4f7f\u986f\u8457\u7684\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5e74\u5c0e\u81f4\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u8f03\u70ba\u4fdd\u5b88\uff0c\u7f8e\u5149\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6bd4\u6211\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u6697\u793a\u7684\u66f4\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6f32\uff08\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u64f4\u5f35\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h4><a id=\"%C2%A0%E7%BE%8E%E5%85%89%E7%9A%84%E9%A2%A8%E9%9A%AA\" class=\"anchor\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><span class=\"octicon 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